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Prediction for CME (2013-04-11T07:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2013-04-11T07:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/154/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2013-04-13T22:12Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -11
Dst min. time: 2013-04-15T03:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2013-04-14T00:00Z
Prediction Method: HAFv2w
Prediction Method Note:

On Apr 13, 2013, at 12:31 AM, Yuming Wang wrote:
Interesting.
Our results:
- CME in corona
 speed: 746 km/s
 Propagation direction: N16E14
 Angular width: 140 deg
- CME at 1 AU (forecasting)
 Hit the Earth
 Impact distance: 0.4 R_MC (if there was a MC)
 Arrival time: 00 UT on April 14
 Propagation speed: 530 km/s (not speed for leading edge)
 
More details see: http://space.ustc.edu.cn/dreams/events/20130411.01/
 
 
Happy weekend,
Yuming
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Dr. Yuming WANG
School of Earth and Space Sciences
Univ. of Sci. and Tech. of China
96 Jinzhai RD, Hefei, Anhui 230026
P. R. China
Phone: +86-551-63602507
Fax: +86-551-63607615
http://space.ustc.edu.cn/alias.php?user=ymwang
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Lead Time: 17.68 hour(s)
Difference: -1.80 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2013-04-13T04:31Z

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